As always with these long range models, the EURO and the GFS, there have been some changes in that actual path of this storm coming out next Wednesday. But the thing that concerns me a bit is not the actual upper low, but the way the wedge holds and where the warm sector sets up. Here is the trajectory
of the upper low that is forecasted by both the GFS and the EURO to eject across the south next Wednesday. The difference between this run and yesterday’s run on both the EURO and the GFS is that both models have it a bit more sheared out and moving to the north of N Georgia by Wednesday morning. The thing that has remained constant on the last few runs is where the warm sector sets up.
Just like every event I have seen here in GA everything is dependent on how that wedge gets pushed out and if the warm air can make it here in time. Typically these wedge fronts as they retreat have a tremendous amount of shear on them. Look at both the GFS and EURO for next Wednesday morning.
I will keep posting to the blog and on my facebook at twitter pages as to the changes that will be happening over the next few days as to the potential for this to happen.
Here is a link to my facebook page http://www.facebook.com/thechiefmikefrancis
and my twitter feed http://www.twitter.com/mikefranciswx
Thanks again for following me and all my weather updates!!