Potential for Heavy Rain and a Few T-storms Tomorrow

What looked like a potential for some winter weather across parts of the area tomorrow is now looking like heavy rain and a few t-storms for parts of the area. The upper system is simuawips-6

now centered over central TX and is moving rather quick, too fast for the real cold air to make it down here in time for it to give us snow. Down at the surface in response to this strong upper system, pressure is falling across TX and parts of AR this afternoon. This will ruc00hr_sfc_windhelp bring in lots of low and mid level moisture. The NAM is bringing this system through tomorrow mid to late morning around 11am in the southern parts of the metro area, and noon for the rest of the metro area. Here is 500mb for tomorrow 7am 5007pm 500

at 7am and 7pm. The system still will not have made it through by 7pm tomorrow night so we can expect rain and a few storms throughout the majority of the afternoon tomorrow. Since most of the energy will be staying to the south, most of the heavier rain will fall to the south and east of the metro area. Here is the NAM’s radar projections for tomorrow1pm Rain7pm rain

at 1pm and then 7pm. The heaviest rain and a few embedded storms will happen between 1pm and 7pm across most of the metro area and when it is all said and done we could see parts of the area with over 1.5″. Here is what the NAM is saying for rain totals by Friday morning and I completely agree with this, the heaviest rain will fall in the SE counties.hires_t_precip_atl_15

But as the upper low passes by late Thu night into Fri morning, we will see a secondary area of rain that will give us an additional .25″ in the western sections of the metro.

I am not expecting anything severe out of this, just a clap or two of thunder and some pockets of heavier rain. Temps tomorrow will be chilly, I am expecting for afternoon tempshires_t2m_atl_25 to only make it into the mid 40’s so tomorrow is a jacket day for sure! Look at the temps for 1pm tomorrow….. BRRRRRRR!!!! Here soon this winter will be over and we will all be wishing for cool temps in July LOL!!

More updates to come later plus I have a few surprises that I will be unveiling over the next few weeks that you will surely love!

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